NHL Plays for Tuesday Oct 18

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Canucks @ BlueJackets
Canucks ML +113 (Playable to +100)
Columbus hasn’t managed to win a game yet, which is no surprise really. The Blue Jackets probably won’t win very many games this season, and Patrick Laine, the team’s most important player next to Johnny Gaudreau, is week-to-week with an injury —- not exactly great news for that Laine to win the Rocket Richard trophy ticket I’ve got! But less about my future bets, and more about tonight’s action!

The Jackets are just the kind of team the Canucks matchup to beat —- sure they can score (though that feels a little less dangerous with Laine being sidelined), but their goaltending and defensive zone responsibility leave much to be desired. So, for a team that can struggle to defend in the Canucks, a matchup with a squad that is equally mentally weak is just what Boudreau’s team needs to get off the snide.

So while typically taking home favorites when their opposition is on the second night of a back-to-back is an angle that is exploitable —- I’m willing to go against that trend and back Vancouver to pick up their first two points on the season.

Sharks @ Islanders
Over 5.5 -117​

The San Jose Sharks had the honor of opening the 2022-23 NHL season overseas; wistfully, it’s been all downhill from there. The Sharks have dropped their first four decisions, and it looks like SanJose might just be the darkhorse contender in the #BadForBedard sweepstakes. Who could have seen this coming(me)?

So for anyone who did me the favor and read my piece over on the @HammerBettingNetwork, then you’ll be very familiar with this little wager here, as it will likely become as constant in these writeups as the Tigers’ overs were! Because though through 3 games, the attack has been more or less toothless —- which, particularly for a shark is not ideal —- I do not see that part of this team’s struggles being so pronounced. They’ve got some guys who should find the net, and while I’m not saying they’ll score enough goals to be outside of the bottom 4th of the league, I do think the market will underrate the positive effect of trailing by multiple goals every game has on your offense inherently.

Which is really the key part of this bet isn’t it? The Sharks’ defensive core isn’t exactly inspiring anyone to pick up a stick and skate backward, and more importantly, their coach is a used car salesman masquerading as a hockey coach. David Quinn’s system is just too passive, allowing the opposition to easily gain the blue line, thereby allowing teams to dominate ice-tilt. He’s like Ron Wilson in Toronto without Phil Kessel and a much worse James Reimer.

Lastly, I wouldn’t be shocked if we see the backup for the Islanders tonight, the Sharks suck, and the Islanders have a back-to-back on the weekend against much more formidable (and divisional) opponents. Now I don’t have any intel on this, but if the news does come through this total sure as hell won’t stay below 6. And isn’t scoring for goals just a good way to get through the night?

Kings @ Predators​

Predators in Regulation -108

Sabres @ Oilers​

Buffalo ML +225
Right on the heels of a buy-low spot on the Predators is a sell-high spot on the paper dragon that is the Edmonton Oilers in the early season here —- because this team is just not as good as the market is pricing them at right now. Particularly on the backend, the defense has been leaky, to say the least, allowing 7 goals in 2 games, and trailing in both games.

Moreover, the Oilers have been heavily reliant on the powerplay, and have actually been pretty handily outplayed at 5-on-5 in both games against the Canucks and Flames. Now, that isn’t something I expect to see for the whole season, but nonetheless, this is an Edmonton team with serious flaws —- the goaltending is mediocre at best, and the backend isn’t exactly renowned for their defensive responsibility. But they have a McJesus and Draistle, two guys who are just capable of ruining any game they play —- but I’ve just not been impressed with Edmonton’s start, and am willing to take a shot on the Sabres, even on the road.
 

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